We took an extra day to review how the market opens and this is our conclusion….
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📰 4 Market Reads to Catch You Up
These 5 reads will help you stay sharp, see past the noise, and prepare for the road ahead:
New to Investing? Start here. The Stock Market Isn’t a Casino, It’s a store.
Recession, Inflation, War? What This Chaos Really Means for Your Stocks
What I Told a Retiree Who Asked Me, How to Invest $30,000 in 2025
📈 I Waited a Day, Here's Why
Before we get into the levels and setups for this week, I want to zoom out. Because something major just happened.
The U.S. launched a military strike against Iran and if you’ve been following the headlines, you know this isn’t just a local dust-up. This is a potential flashpoint with global implications. I held off on publishing Sunday because I wanted to read the market’s response, not just the headlines. I needed to see how Wall Street, not just Twitter, was reacting.
So here we are. One day later. Oil (/CL) spiked and pulled back. Stocks? Surprisingly stable, even green.
And that raises the question: is war… bullish 🟢 ?
🧠 Let’s Think Logically for a Second
If you go back through history, limited wars or short-term military operations have often been met with a brief dip followed by a strong recovery.
Here’s some quick history:
Conflict | 1-Month Market Reaction | Insight |
|---|---|---|
Pearl Harbor (1941) | Down initially, then +10–15% | War-driven industrial boom |
Gulf War (1990) | -4% → full recovery in 2 weeks | Oil panic reversed quickly |
Post‑9/11 (2001) | -7% → +11% rebound | Markets resilient, stimulus followed |
Iraq Invasion (2003) | –2% → +8–10% in a month | Clarity helped market settle |
In many cases, the reaction to war can become bullish after the uncertainty clears.
💣 Why Is the U.S. Even Involved?
Here’s the big picture:
Support for Israel: The U.S. has long held a “special relationship” with Israel, and this was a show of strength in that alliance.
Deterring escalation: Iran's military growth, especially its nuclear capability, has raised red flags in D.C. This strike was designed to send a message — without (yet) sparking all-out war.
Control the narrative: The administration wants to appear strong without overcommitting. But this situation is delicate — Iran can’t afford to lose face, and Israel can’t afford to lose ground.
So while this wasn’t a declaration of war, it was a clear signal: the U.S. is in play now. That changes things geopolitically and economically.
You now know what’s going on. But don’t miss out on knowing how to position yourself and the details of how this changes your money.
We’re just getting started.
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